ADP Employment – A Desperate Plight

USDJPY, H1

US ADP reported private payrolls plunged -20.236 mln in April following a downward revision to -149,000 (was -27,000) in March. The service sector lost -16 mln jobs, led by leisure/hospitality which was down -8.6 mln. There was a -3.4 mln decline in trade/transport, along with a -1.2 mln slide in professional business services. Employment in the goods sector declined -4.2 mln with a -2.5 mln drop in construction and -1.7 mln in manufacturing. Large firms shed -9 mln jobs, followed by a -6 mln decline in small business and -5.3 from medium sized firms. The data was as desperate and as dismal as expected.

USDJPY has been trending lower all day from yesterday’s high at 106.885. It has moved off lows of the day at 106.050 to 106.175, following the confirmation of the poor ADP report. EURUSD is back to 1.0820 from lows at 1.0782 and Cable remains under 1.2400 at 1.2386 (S2).

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Stuart Cowell

Head Market Analyst

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