Ebay exceeds expectations

On Wednesday, February 3, the site for the auction and electronic commerce of products, eBay, released the results obtained in the fourth quarter of 2020, which exceeded analysts’ forecasts. The company consolidated an earnings per share of $0.86 and a turnover of $2.87B, with which eBay’s stock increased 9.98% to trade at $63.24. In the first months of 2021, the company’s stock has advanced 15%.[1]

Faced with the pandemic, some buyers have chosen to take refuge in online markets such as eBay and Amazon to avoid stores and respect social distancing, which helped eBay achieve 185 million active buyers by the end of the quarter, a 7% increase, showing that the company has managed to maintain gains despite the Covid-19 pandemic. In turn, the company registered an increase in its income of 28%, reaching $2.89 billion for the period that ended on December 31, where the profit was $0.86 per share. [2]

Given these results and the reports on the profits obtained in their fourth quarter, eBay shares managed to recover for the session on Thursday, February 4, and rise  11.7%. In light of this, the company’s management predicts greater growth in the remainder for the year with possible first quarter  revenue in the range of $2.94 billion to $2.99 billion, ahead of analysts’ estimates that place it at $2.5 billion. It is also believed that adjusted EPS could consolidate between $1.03 and $1.08, while Wall Street estimates it at $0.85. [3]

Finally, it should be noted that within the fourth quarter of eBay, the gross volume of its merchandise increased by 21% to a value of $26.6 billion dollars, with 18% on a neutral base in terms of currency exchange. Its annual assets grew 7%, consolidating at $185 million, while advertising sales reached a new 2020 milestone as it managed to exceed $1 billion in revenue for that year, leaving the historical maximum price of its shares at $61.06. [4]

The price has been in a bullish rally since the beginning of March 2020 following a double bottom below its long 3-year support of $30. It formed a very strong bullish rally to the psychological level of $60 before continuing with a retracement in the form of a flag in Q2-Q3 2020 that broke to the upside by bouncing off the Resistance, now Support, from the previous 2018 high. Currently the price has broken above the $60 level and is at $62.96, leaving a support range from the 78.6%-88.6% Fib level at $56.96-$61.47. If it maintains this range and the bullish guideline, it could test the 2015 high at $66.71. If exceeded this level it would seek higher levels such as the FE 61.8 at $66.97, the psychological level of $70, 127.2% Fib. level at $79.13, the psychological level of $80 and FE 100 at $80.36.

Lower Supports are found on 61.8% Fib. level at $49.50 to the psychological level of $50, the range of the 2018 high at $44.34-$46.95 and 38.2 Fib. level at $38.80-$40.

  1. https://es.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/ebay-mejora-sus-beneficios-e-ingresos-en-el-q4-2078787
  2. https://finance.yahoo.com/news/ebay-projects-revenue-tops-estimates-212836581.html
  3. https://www.fool.com/investing/2021/02/04/why-ebay-stock-jumped-today/
  4. https://www.investors.com/news/technology/ebay-stock-fourth-quarter-earnings-announement-ebay/

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Aldo Weidner Z.

Market Analyst – HF Educational Office – LATAM

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