Market Update – August 10 – Disney missed forecasts – US Inflation ahead!

Yields have moved higher, but stock market sentiment also improved as investors look ahead to key US inflation data. The Hang Seng underperformed overnight, but elsewhere indexes managed to move higher. European markets are narrowly mixed at the start of the session, US futures are moving higher. Bonds have pared overnight losses, but the US 10-year rate is still up 1.3 bp at 4.018%, while Bund and Gilt yields have lifted 2.7 bp and 2.4 bp respectively. Fears that the CPI report might be too elevated to keep the FOMC sidelined in September elicited profit taking on recent gains. In earnings front, Disney missed revenue forecasts, Disney reporting that streaming losses totaled $512 million in its fiscal third quarter, about half of the $1.1 billion loss reported in the prior-year period and less than the $777 million loss forecast by analysts. European gas prices rose 30% on fears over Australian supply.

  • FX – USDIndex was little changed at 102 after trading in a narrow range from 102.29 to 102.58. EURUSD higher at 1.1020, Cable jumped to 1.2760 from 1.2705.
  • Stocks – The US100 underperformed, sliding -1.17% on the weakness in big tech. The US500 dropped -0.7% and the US30 declined -0.54% with IT leading the way lower.
  • Commodities – USOil spiked to $84.26 breaking 11-month highs, supported by the spike of gas. European natural gas prices surged more than 30%, as the potential for liquefied natural gas supply disruptions from Australia spooked traders who have been betting against the price. A pop in USOIL prices to 11-month high at $84.65 added to anxiety over inflationary pressures.
  • Gold – is ranging at $1,915- $1,920.

Today: US inflation and Jobless claims.

Biggest FX Mover: CHFJPY (+0.56%) spiked to 164.89, with 165 the next resistance level.

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Andria Pichidi

Market Analyst

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