Market Update – May 9 – Calm Ahead of US CPI Tomorrow

The USD ticked higher (USDIndex 101.21), with tight credit markets and business loans  weak but not as bad as expected. US Stocks closed flat and Asia is subdued with little data ahead of US CPI tomorrow. Sterling came off 1-year highs but remains supported with BOE later in the week. LinkedIn announced 700 job losses and will close China app. Ueda – YCC will end when price goal achievement “foreseen”. AUD & JPY higher, EUR weighed to start the European session. 
Overnight Chinese trade balance data exceeded expectations, Japanese household spending missed significantly and a key UK Retail Sales survey beat.  
  • FX USDIndex once again found support at 100.88, currently holds over 101.00, EUR has pushed under 1.1000 from 1.1050 yesterday. JPY slips below 135.00 from a technical intra-day resistance at 135.34 earlier. Sterling declined from 1-year highs at 1.2670 yesterday but holds 1.2600 today.
  • Stocks- US markets closed flat (-0.17% to 0.18%) (#TSN -16.41%,  #AMD +5.79%) US500 closed +2 pts 4138, FUTS are trading at 4148 today and still below the key resistance at 4175 & 4150

  • Commodities – USOil – Futures added to Friday’s gains and touched $73.50 and trades at $72.60 today. Gold – tested back into $2000 on Friday, but held $2020 yesterday, trades at $2025 now. 
  • Cryptocurrencies BTC tumbled over 5.5% from Friday highs over $29.6k under the key $28k support level, and tested into $27k as BINANCE twice stalled withdraws over the weekend. Trades at $27.4k now.  

Today Speeches from ECB’s Lane & Schnabel, Fed’s Williams & Jefferson. Earnings from Daimler Truck, Ubisoft, Direct Line, Airbnb & Occidental Petroleum.

Biggest FX Mover @ (06:30 GMT) NZDJPY (-0.29%). Has broken a 3-day rally from 83.50 to 85.85 yesterday and is back at 85.30 now.  MAs aligned lower, MACD histogram & signal line positive but declining, RSI 44.21 & falling, H1 ATR 0.140 Daily ATR 0.00621.

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Stuart Cowell

Head Market Analyst

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