Wall Street closed Thursday’s trading session [Jan 18] with sharp gains, following the publication of the latest jobless claims data, which revealed that demand for unemployment benefits in the country fell to its lowest point since September 2022.
- US weekly initial jobless claims unexpectedly fell by -16,000 to a 16-month low of 187,000, indicating a stronger than expected labor market of 205,000.
- December new housing starts in the US fell -4.3% m/m to 1.460 million, stronger than expectations of 1.425 million. December building permits, which represent future construction, rose +1.9% month-on-month to 1.495 million, stronger than expectations of 1.477 million.
- The US Fed’s January business outlook survey in Philadelphia rose +2.2 to -10.6, weaker than expectations of -6.5.
Atlanta Fed President Bostic said he would like to see more evidence, that inflation is on track towards the Fed’s target of 2%, and he said his view is that the first rate cut will occur in the third quarter of this year.
At the closing bell, the USA100 skyrocketed 1.47% and the USA500 jumped 0.88%. The best performing company of both indices was Fastenal Company whose shares increased by 7.18%. The USA30 rose 0.54%, while Boeing Co rose 4.24% to lead the gains in the Dow Jones Industrials after winning an order for 150 Max jets from India’s Akasa Air. Apple closed up over +3% leading gainers in the Dow Jones Industrials, after Bank of America upgraded the stock to buy from neutral with a $225 price target.
The USA100 recorded a new record high (17000.50). A rally in chip stocks on Thursday pushed tech stocks higher, after Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co, a major supplier to Apple and Nvidia, said it expects a return to solid growth this quarter. As a result KLA Corp, Applied Materials, ASML Holding NV, Lam Research and Qualcomm closed up more than +4%. Additionally, NXP Semiconductors NV, Micron Technology, Broadcom and GlobalFoundries closed up over +3%.
From a technical perspective, the USA100 recorded a new historical January 2024 record at 17000.50 in Thursday’s trading [Jan 18] surpassing the record price of 16991.00 last December. Further rally is yet to be capped, but is projected for FE61.8%FR at 17463 [from 10431.30-15946.40 and 14054.80 pullbacks]. However, profit-taking cannot be ruled out going forward. Interim support is seen at 15946.40 to contain future declines.
Stock outperformance was supported by easing political risks, after the Senate passed a continuing resolution that would fund the government through March and avoid a shutdown on Saturday. This temporary measure will fund some US agencies until March 1 and others until March 8. The House is expected to vote on and pass the bill later today.
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Ady Phangestu
Market Analyst – HF Educational Office – Indonesia
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