Market Update – October 4 – USD Holds, Inflation & Evergrande worries persist

  • USDIndex (94.00) اب Highs پر ہےلیکن Thursday High 94.50 سے نیچے.Friday کو
    Strong US Data(ISM Manu PMI 61.1, PCE 4.3% & UoM72.8. Its NFP Jobs and Pandora Papers week.
  • Yields ابRecent highs پر.(Ten-year closed 1.465%) اب یہ Asia .1.47% میںChina Thursday (Huge spike to 1.567%) تک بند.HK Property group (Hopson) $5 bn for 50% of Evergrande Real Estate کے لیے.عوام اب بھی پریشان.
  • Equities میںFriday rally ہوا.(Merck +8.37%) یہ Anti-viral drug ہے.
    USA500 +49.0 (+1.5%) at 4357 اب بھیWeak.USA500.F کمزورMixed Asian Equities 4330 VIX 21.20 پر بند. اب یہ22.15 پر موجود.
  • USOil اب$75.20 پر. آجOPEC + meeting ہے. اس میں”Gradual” production increase پر راضی ہیں.
  • Gold $1760 پر. پچھلےہفتے کا Collapse $1720 20-day MA $1765

     

  • Fx Market میں USD bid EURUSD 1.1600, Cable 1.3550, & USDJPY 111.00.

Week Ahead  – RBA Rate Decision – (less Dovish ? but with Covid cases still climbing) Jobs Week RBNZ Rate Decision (delayed rate hike coming?), Jobs week NFP(460k vs 235k), ADP 430k vs 374k & Claims 350K vs 362k. Plus more PMI data.

European Open

December 10-year Bund ابEight ticks at 170.30 .Asian stock markets mix. DAX & FTSE اب Merck .0.4% سے خبر آئی Fridayکو.

Today – EZ Sentix Index, US Factory Orders, ECB’s de Guindos, de Cos, Fed’s Bostic & Bullard, OPEC+ and Eurogroup meetings.

Biggest Mover

CADJPY (+0.24%) (GMT 06:30)
Test Resistance 88.00 , 87.20 Friday rally. Faster MA aligned high
MACD signal line اورHistogram Higher, RSI 55.50 neutral
H1 ATR 0.157, Daily ATR 0.882

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Stuart Cowell

Head Market Analyst

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