Events to Look Out for Week URDU


  • RBA Minutes (AUD, GMT 01:30) –

    RBA Minutes ہمیں Guidance دے گاجیسا کہ پچھلی میٹنگ میں Signal دیا گیا تھا۔  «Accommodative approach will be maintained as long as acquired» 

  • BoJ Interest Rate Decision and Conference (JPY, GMT 03:00 & 06:00)

    ہونے والی Meeting میں کوئی تبدیلی کی اُمید نہیں ہے۔ بینک نے پہلے ہی کہہ دیا ہے کہ جو کچھ کر سکیں کریں گے۔ سا تھ ہی Bank نے Warn بھی کیا کہ Trust in Japan’s Finances over long term. کے بغیر Interest Rates Low رکھنا مُشکل ہو جائے گا۔Kuroda نے Law Makers سے کہا نہ BoJ مُسلسل T-Bills اور Government Bonds خریدے گا اور اگر ضرورت سمجھے تو Yield Curve کے Rates میں Changes کرے گا۔  BoJمزید اپنے Lending Program میں توسیع کر سکتا ہے۔ BoJ Price Target تک Monetary Easing کی جا سکتی ہے۔ 

  • Average Earnings Index & ILO rate (GBP, GMT 06:00) –

اُمید ہے کہ UK Earnings with bonus include figure 2.6% y/y. تک بڑھ سکتے ہیں۔ April تک UK میں Unemployment میں نمایاں اضافہ 4.4% دیکھا جا سکتا ہے کیونکہ یہ Data پوری طر ح سے Lockdown کو ظا ہر کرے گا۔ Lockdown کی معیاد 23 March سے Mid May تھا۔ 

  • Economic Sentiment (EUR, GMT 09:00)

Expect کیا جا سکتا ہے کہ German June ZEW کے Economic Sentiment میں Sharp Decline آسکتا ہے۔51 سے 32 تک۔ .

  • Retail Sales (USD, GMT 12:30) –

May کی Values میں تیزی کی اُمید کی جا سکتی ہے۔  

Headline Retail Sales 9.5%. 

Ex-auto Figure 8.4%. 

Following April drops of 

Headline Retail Sales -16.4%. 

Ex-autos -17.2%. 

Wednesday – 17 June 2020


  • Consumer Price Index (GBP, GMT 06:00) –

Expect کر سکتے ہیں کہ May میں Prices تیزی آسکتی ہے۔ 

Overall Inflation to Increase at 0.9% y/y. 

بِلمقابِل 

0.8% y/y. پچھلے ما ہ کے۔ 

  • Consumer Price Index (EUR, GMT 09:00) –

اُمید کی جاتی ہے کہ Final EURO CPI میں تیزی آسکتی ہے۔ 

0.4% y/y بِلمقابِل Last Month 0.1% y/y 

0.8% y/y Core Inflation. بِلمقابِل0.0%y/y

  • Consumer Price Index and Core (CAD, GMT 12:30) –

May CPI کے بارے میں اُمید کی جاتی ہے کہ اسِ میں کافی 0.1% Higher Value. آسکتی ہے۔ یاد رہے کہ April میں کافی Sharp Drop ہوا تھا۔ Lockdown کا ایک پورا مہینہ Economy کو تباہ کر بیٹھا۔ 

  • Crude Oil Inventories
  • Gross Domestic Product (NZD, GMT 22:45) – 

اُمید ہے کہ Q1 میں کافی Growth آئے گی۔ 0.5% جو کہ پچھلے Quarter سے Unchanged ہوسکتا ہے۔ 

Thursday – 18 June 2020


  • Employment Data (AUD, GMT 01:30)

May کے Unemployment Rate کے بارے میں Expect کیا جا سکتا ہے کہ یہ 8.3% تک Spike کر سکتے ہیں۔ Employment Change کے بارے میں اُمید کی جا سکتی ہے کہ یہ Decrease -575K ہو۔ 

  • SNB Interest Rate Decision and Press Conference (CHF, GMT 07:30)

 میں Expect کیا جا سکتا ہے کہ Interest Rate Unchange ہوں گے۔ آنے والے Data میں Covid-19 کی تباہیوں کا اثر دیکھا جا ئے گا۔ March میں پہلے ہی بتا دیا گیا تھا کہ اگر ضرورت محسوس ہو تو Forex CHF میں Shield لگا دیا جا ئے گا۔ 

  • Interest rate Decision and Conference (GBP, GMT 11:00)

UK کے بُرے Economic Data کی وجہ سے BoE پر کافی Pressure ہوگا۔ BoE پر مزید  

Stimulus Measures ڈالنے کا پریشر ڈالا جائے گا۔ConcenSus کے حساب سے  

No Change in Interest Rate. دیکھا جا سکتا ہے۔ 

  • Jobless Claims (USD, GMT 12:30)

(June 6) US Initial Jobless Claims fell -355K-1542K. 

پہلے یہ -226K to 1897K تھا

  • BoJ Monetary Policy Meeting Minutes (JPY, GMT 23:50) – 
    اسِ Meeting سے Japan کے آنے والے Planningپر نظر اور Signals دیے جا ئیں گے۔ 

Friday – 19 June 2020


  • European Council Meeting (EUR, Full Post) –

European Council Meeting: 

اسِ Meeting میں شامل ہوں گے۔ 

Heads of States & Governments of Member States. 

Click here to access the HotForex Economic Calendar

Andria Pichidi

Market Analyst

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