GBPUSD, H1
% 4.8تھا. اب یہ% 5.5 آیا. اس حساب سےAnnual Rate 23.6% y/y ہے.Annual comparison میں یقینی طور پر Virus کی وجہ سے Distortions موجود ہیں لیکن اس کے بعد بھی Extend balance .number look positive بھی Healthy لگ رہاہے.Exports rising 6.2% q/q اورImports 2.4% q/q
Furlough scheme phasing out , National delivery problems.ان چیزوں سے Consumption پر اثر پڑے گا. اب ان وجوہات کی وجہ سےQ2 کافیOutdated لگ رہاہے اور اسی لیےUK outlookمیں تبدیلی نہیں آسکےگی.Governor Baileyنے Signalدیا ہے کہAsset purchase continue رہنے کے ساتھ ساتھ وہ Rates بھی بڑھا سکتےہیں لیکن ان سب کے لیے اگلے سال تک کا انتظار ہے.
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Stuart Cowell
Head Market Analyst
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